About the author
Marc Jakob is Senior Editor at PolyGram, focused on prediction markets, crypto order flow, and the mechanics of decentralised settlement systems. Since 2018 he has analysed how Polymarket, Kalshi and Betfair Exchange translate probability estimates into live order-book quotes.
His coverage spans market structure (CLOB vs. AMM design), on-chain resolution via the UMA Optimistic Oracle, and the evolving regulatory landscape for prediction-market platforms in the EU and US. Marc has published on conditional-token architectures, liquidity fragmentation, and cross-platform arbitrage.
Before PolyGram, Marc worked as a quant analyst at a Frankfurt buy-side desk and wrote about DeFi structures for English-language crypto publications.
Areas of expertise
Prediction MarketsPolymarketOn-Chain SettlementUSDCPolygonMarket StructureDeFi
Recent articles by Marc Jakob
Is Polymarket Legal? Country-by-Country Guide 2025
1 April 2026is Polymarket legal
Polymarket vs Betfair: Which is Better for Prediction Markets?
1 April 2026Polymarket vs Betfair
Polymarket Election Markets: Complete Trader's Guide 2025
1 April 2026Polymarket election markets
Prediction Market Strategies: How to Profit in 2026
28 April 2026prediction market strategies
Best Prediction Markets in 2026: Platform Comparison
28 April 2026best prediction markets 2026
Is Polymarket Legal? Regulation Guide for 2026
28 April 2026is polymarket legal
Election Prediction Markets: How They Work in 2026
28 April 2026election prediction markets
Crypto Prediction Markets: The Complete Guide for 2026
28 April 2026crypto prediction markets
How to Find Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
1 May 2026prediction market arbitrage
Polymarket Fees: Complete Breakdown for 2026
1 May 2026Polymarket fees
Hedging Strategies Using Prediction Markets
1 May 2026hedging with prediction markets
Prediction Market Taxes: What You Need to Know
1 May 2026prediction market taxes
How Prediction Markets Resolve: Settlement Explained
1 May 2026prediction market resolution
US Senate 2026: Prediction Market Odds by State
1 May 2026US Senate prediction market 2026
Prediction Markets for Beginners: Start Trading in 5 Minutes
1 May 2026prediction markets for beginners
Best Prediction Market Platforms in 2026: Ranked and Reviewed
1 May 2026best prediction markets 2026
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K in 2026? Prediction Market Odds Analyzed
1 May 2026will bitcoin hit 100k 2026
How to Make Money with Prediction Markets in 2026: A Realistic Guide
1 May 2026how to make money prediction markets
5 Proven Prediction Market Strategies That Work in 2026
1 May 2026prediction market strategies
YES and NO Shares in Prediction Markets: What They Mean and How to Trade Them
1 May 2026yes no shares prediction market
Manifold Markets Alternative 2026: Why PolyGram Offers Real Money Trading
1 May 2026manifold markets alternative
FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds, Group Stage & More
1 May 2026FIFA World Cup 2026 prediction market
Sports Betting ROI vs Prediction Markets: Which Is More Profitable Long-Term?
1 May 2026sports betting vs prediction market ROI
Polymarket Alternative for US Users: Trade Prediction Markets Without a VPN
1 May 2026polymarket alternative USA
Super Bowl 2027 Prediction Markets: Early Championship Odds & How to Trade
1 May 2026super bowl prediction market 2027
Golf Major Prediction Markets 2026: Masters, US Open & The Open Champion Odds
1 May 2026golf prediction market 2026
Using Prediction Markets as Insurance: How to Hedge Real-World Risk
1 May 2026prediction market hedge insurance
AI Prediction Markets 2026: Trade GPT-5, AGI Timelines & Tech Milestones
1 May 2026AI prediction markets 2026
Polymarket App for Mobile 2026: PolyGram as the Native Telegram Alternative
2 May 2026polymarket app mobile
2028 Presidential Election Prediction Markets: Early Republican & Democratic Odds
2 May 20262028 presidential election prediction market
Is Polymarket Legit? Safety, Security & Legitimacy in 2026
2 May 2026is polymarket legit
Prediction Market Best Practices 2026: Professional Trader Checklist
2 May 2026prediction market best practices
Stock Market Prediction Markets 2026: S&P 500, NASDAQ & Dow Jones Odds
2 May 2026stock market prediction market 2026
US Open Tennis 2026 Prediction Markets: Men's & Women's Champion Odds
2 May 2026US Open tennis prediction market 2026
How to Login to Polymarket in 2026: PolyGram as the Easiest Alternative
2 May 2026polymarket login
How to Spot Value in Prediction Markets: 5 Signs a Market Is Mispriced
2 May 2026mispriced prediction market value
NHL Stanley Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Championship Odds & Playoff Guide
2 May 2026NHL Stanley Cup prediction market 2026
Bitcoin Halving Impact Prediction Markets: Post-Halving Price Cycle Odds
2 May 2026bitcoin halving prediction market
Esports Prediction Markets 2026: LoL, CS2, Valorant & Major Tournament Odds
2 May 2026esports prediction market 2026
The Ultimate Prediction Market Guide 2026: Everything You Need to Start
2 May 2026prediction market guide 2026
Best News Sources for Prediction Market Traders: Information Edge Guide
2 May 2026prediction market news sources
Polymarket vs Betfair 2026: Which Exchange Is Better for Sports Traders?
2 May 2026polymarket vs betfair
NBA MVP Prediction Markets 2026: Jokic, Tatum, SGA & Award Season Odds
2 May 2026NBA MVP prediction market 2026
XRP & Ripple Prediction Markets 2026: SEC Case, Price Targets & ODL Markets
2 May 2026XRP prediction market 2026
Premier League Prediction Markets 2026: Title Race, Relegation & Top Scorer
2 May 2026premier league prediction market 2026
Rugby World Cup 2027 Prediction Markets: Early Odds & Southern Hemisphere Dominance
2 May 2026rugby world cup prediction market 2027
Autonomous Vehicle & Robotaxi Prediction Markets 2026: Tesla, Waymo & Level 5 Odds
2 May 2026autonomous vehicle prediction market 2026
Best Crypto Prediction Market Platform 2026: Where to Trade Bitcoin & ETH Markets
2 May 2026best crypto prediction market platform
