Bitcoin price on May 28?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market settles on the Binance BTC/USDT closing price at noon ET on 28 May 2026, using the 1-minute candle data available on the exchange's spot trading interface. The resolution hinges on a single data point—the final "Close" price from that specific candle—with ties resolving to the higher bracket. No alternative sources or averaging mechanisms apply; the market is binary against whatever price Binance records at that moment.

Bitcoin's price action over comparable five-day windows has historically shown volatility ranging from 3–8% in calm periods, though geopolitical shocks or major regulatory announcements have triggered sharper moves. The current 0% implied probability suggests the market is either illiquid, awaiting bracket specification, or reflects extreme scepticism about the event occurring. Historical precedent indicates that spot prices at noon ET often differ materially from 24-hour averages, particularly during Asian and European trading hours, making intraday timing material to settlement.

Traders should monitor Federal Reserve communications, Bitcoin mining difficulty adjustments, and any major cryptocurrency regulatory developments in the weeks preceding the settlement date. Binance's operational status and any technical incidents affecting the BTC/USDT pair could theoretically prevent clean settlement, though such occurrences remain rare. Institutional flows and macroeconomic data releases scheduled near the settlement window may influence volatility, though predicting a specific noon-hour price two years forward remains inherently speculative without defined price brackets.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.