Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
52% | 48% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
52% | 48% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 52% ex-RUBY | 49% AM Gaming |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% Over | 48% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 51% ex-RUBY | 49% AM Gaming |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% ex-RUBY | 51% AM Gaming |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 47% Over | 53% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% Over | 51% Under |
Market context
AM Gaming face ex-RUBY in a Round 16 best-of-three match within the CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs structure, scheduled for 4 June at 1:00 PM ET. The CCT Europe circuit represents a secondary-tier competitive pathway for Counter-Strike teams outside the top-tier franchise leagues, with playoff qualification determined by regular season performance and seeding. Both squads will have completed their group stage matches before this knockout fixture, meaning roster stability and recent form carry direct weight into the matchup.
The 51% implied probability for AM Gaming reflects relatively even footing between the two organisations. ex-RUBY has operated as a roster rebuild following earlier iterations, whilst AM Gaming competes as an established regional contender. Head-to-head records between these specific line-ups remain sparse in public databases, making recent tournament placements and map pool consistency the primary differentiators. Teams competing in CCT Europe typically field five-player rosters with minimal mid-season changes, so current roster composition should remain intact unless injury or suspension emerges in the week preceding the match.
Traders should monitor official CCT Europe scheduling confirmations and any roster announcements from either organisation through to the settlement window close on 4 June at 23:00 UTC. Fixture delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating a specific risk boundary. Recent Counter-Strike roster moves and player availability statements from both teams' social channels or official esports news outlets will clarify whether either squad faces unexpected personnel changes that might shift competitive balance.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?
- Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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