Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Astralis face TYLOO in a best-of-one elimination match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 on 7 June. The Danish side enters as heavy favourites at 62% implied probability, reflecting their status as a top-five ranked team with consistent Major performances. TYLOO, the Chinese representatives, qualified through the Asia-Pacific region and carry significantly lower expectations in this format. A single map removes any tactical adjustment window, placing emphasis on raw execution and map pool matchups rather than series resilience.

Astralis's recent trajectory shows mixed results heading into Cologne. The team finished third at ESL Pro League Season 19 in May and has rotated personnel across their roster, with questions persisting around mid-round calling consistency. TYLOO's qualification came via dominant regional performances, though their international LAN record against top-tier opposition remains sparse. Head-to-head meetings between these sides are limited; their last significant encounter was in 2021, offering minimal predictive value for current form assessment.

The settlement window closes 7 June at 18:30 UTC, providing a tight resolution window. Traders should monitor ESL's official match schedule for any map selection announcements, which typically occur 24 hours prior. Roster confirmations matter—any late-stage lineup changes or player unavailability could shift the technical execution baseline. The 62% probability suggests the market has already priced in Astralis's ranking advantage whilst acknowledging TYLOO's capacity to compete on a single-map format where variance plays a larger role than series play.

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Champions League Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.