Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Atrix Esports and shimmer in the Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffs, originally set for 23 June at 6:30 PM ET. This offline Brazilian B-Tier tournament, organised by FERJEE, is a Valve Tier 2 event where the outcome has already been determined as shimmer winning the match[1][4]. The market’s current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES for Atrix Esports aligns with the final result, rendering the prediction moot rather than speculative[1].

Historically, markets that resolve after a match concludes with a definitive winner show near-zero probability for the losing side, mirroring how this market has settled[1]. Comparable cases in esports prediction markets demonstrate that once a result is finalised, implied probabilities collapse to reflect the actual outcome, not future uncertainty[1]. Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any post-match disputes or cancellations, though the match is confirmed as completed[1][2]. Recent coverage from Dust2.us confirms the scheduled timing and stream availability, reinforcing the match’s completion status[3]. No line-up changes or suspensions are pending, as the event has concluded[5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.