Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-9.5) vs Red Feet (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-9.5) vs Red Feet (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
BESTIA Academy’s series against Red Feet sits in the “short favourite” bracket, but the market’s 100% YES pricing looks more like confirmation than an edge. Recent comparative data points to BESTIA Academy having the steadier profile: bo3.gg lists a 55% win rate over the last month, rising from 48% across the last six months, while Red Feet are down at 25% over the last month and 27% over six months.[2][3] The two sides also met in April 2026, when BESTIA Academy won the only recorded head-to-head in the available results, which is the clearest historical signal available for this pairing.[5][8]
The map picture is where the match is most likely to move. BESTIA Academy are described as strong on Dust2 but weaker on Mirage and Inferno, with a very predictable Anubis first-ban pattern, while Red Feet’s recent numbers are poor on Dust2 and Nuke, despite a standout Inferno sample.[2][3] That tends to favour BESTIA Academy in a best-of-three, because vetoes can limit Red Feet’s better terrain and force them towards maps where their recent output has been thin.[2][3]
The main trading catalysts are squad confirmation and whether the match is actually completed before the settlement deadline. The listed BESTIA Academy lineup is intact on bo3.gg, with AGT, Jotag3, F4QQ, lezy and Lekzi shown as starters, while Red Feet’s current page shows a smaller, less detailed roster record, which makes late substitution risk harder to quantify from the public data.[2][3][4] Live listing pages also show the match in progress with BESTIA Academy leading 1-0, and the market only resolves to 50-50 if the fixture is not played, ends level, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner, so any interruption, admin ruling or replay decision would matter more than pre-match price alone.[1]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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