Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: CSH.P (-1.5) vs Benched gods (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-6.5) vs Benched gods (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-6.5) vs Benched gods (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
Market context
CYBERSHOKE Prospects’ BO3 against benched gods in the CCT Europe Series #5 Swiss stage has already been priced as a near-certainty, but the underlying matchup data does not support a 100% line. CYBERSHOKE Prospects have shown decent recent form, including a three-match winning run and an 80% win rate in the previous month on one match tracker, yet their map pool is uneven: Ancient has been a clear strength, while Nuke has been a repeated weak spot and Anubis looks thin on sample size[1][2]. That kind of profile tends to keep a series live in a best-of-three, especially if vetoes do not fall cleanly.
The most relevant comparable case is their recent meeting with G2 Ares in the same event cycle, where CYBERSHOKE Prospects fielded a stable five and entered with visible momentum, but still faced a opponent-specific map puzzle and head-to-head uncertainty[2][7]. There is also limited direct history between CYBERSHOKE Prospects and benched gods, with one recent-record source showing benched gods won their only prior clash 2-1, and another listing the series as finished 1-2 in benched gods’ favour[9][10]. That makes the current 100% implied YES price look disconnected from the available competitive evidence.
For traders, the key catalysts are lineup confirmation, veto order, and whether the match actually starts inside the settlement window. The event itself is scheduled across 21-24 July and the match page has been updated close to start time, so late rescheduling or a server-side delay is the main operational risk rather than any injury or suspension issue typical of other sports[6]. If either side posts a changed five or the fixture slips beyond seven days without a result, the market rules point away from a straight win settlement and towards the fallback outcome instead[5].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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