Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Winner | 100% GamerLegion | 0% Acend |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs Acend (+3.5) | 100% GamerLegion | 0% Acend |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% GamerLegion | 100% Acend |
| Match Winner | 0% GamerLegion | 100% Acend |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
This market covers the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket quarterfinal 1 between GamerLegion and Acend in the Super DraculaN Group A, scheduled for 23 June at 6:25 PM ET. Despite the crowd-implied 100% YES probability favouring GamerLegion, the underlying reality is more nuanced: GamerLegion sits at #18 in Strafe’s CS2 World Rankings with only one win in their last five matches, while Acend is ranked #82 with two wins in five [1]. Historical precedents for such lopsided probabilities in first-time H2H matchups often collapse when the lower-ranked side exploits specific map vulnerabilities or when the higher-ranked team suffers from recent form slumps, as seen in several DraculaN Season 7 quarterfinals where 90%+ favourites lost due to unforced errors [1].
Traders must monitor immediate roster announcements and map pool disclosures, as neither team has a prior head-to-head record to inform tactical adjustments [1]. Acend’s recent 2–1 victory over GamerLegion in a separate Sofascore match suggests potential resilience despite the ranking disparity, contradicting the market’s certainty [2]. Key catalysts include any injury updates to GamerLegion’s core line-up—particularly Snax and REZ, whose recent performance fluctuations could shift the line [4]. The settlement window ending 24 June 2026 requires vigilance for match delays or cancellations, which would resolve the market to 50–50 per the terms [1].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Champions League Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?
- Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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