Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Nemesis’ quarter-final against TDK is a rematch with a short but meaningful paper trail: the sides split their two most recent series, with Nemesis winning 2-0 in March and TDK reversing that in a 2-3 final in May.[2][1] That history matters because it suggests a close Bo3 rather than a one-sided mismatch, even if the crowd price is still pinned at 0% YES. Strafe’s match page also showed a modest edge for TDK in community voting ahead of the May final, which proved broadly consistent with the later result, but the series itself went to five maps and was decided by small round margins.[2]

For traders, the key catalysts are line-up confirmation and whether either team arrives with the same core that played the May final. No reliable injury or suspension issues are evident in the public match records, so any move is more likely to come from roster edits, stand-ins, or late schedule changes than from personnel news.[2][5] Liquipedia shows Nemesis has been active in late-May online play, which is a useful sign that its match rhythm has been competitive rather than idle.[5] If the fixture slips beyond the settlement window or is not played at all, the market’s fallback rules would matter more than the on-paper matchup.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.