Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: REGAIN (-1.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: regain (-3.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: regain (-3.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: regain (-9.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: regain (-6.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: CCE (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Chicken Coop Esports (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Chicken Coop Esports (-6.5) vs regain (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: regain (-6.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: regain (-12.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 0% |
Market context
regain and Chicken Coop Esports are meeting in the StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier playoffs lower bracket, and the market is effectively pricing a Chicken Coop win as certain. The strongest comparable signal is their previous head-to-head: regain beat Chicken Coop 2-1 in January 2025, and again took a BO3 on 30 April 2026, so the matchup history does not support a one-sided edge for either side on pure matchup terms.[4][5][8]
What matters more is the current qualifier form and bracket context. The event is a short playoff run in which regain already played Voca on 29 July, while Chicken Coop played SportsBetExpert the same day, so both teams have had a comparable schedule into this lower-bracket round.[2][9][11] Publicly indexed tournament pages show the bracket still in progress, with the next rounds dependent on earlier results, which means a late schedule change or administrative delay is the main path to settlement risk rather than a normal competitive outcome.[2][13]
For traders, the key catalysts are whether both line-ups are unchanged from the earlier qualifier rounds and whether the fixture stays on the published playoff timetable. The crowd’s 100% YES implies the market is assuming the BO3 will be played and finished normally, but that can unwind if the match is postponed, removed from the bracket, or there is a withdrawal before a winner is recorded. Chicken Coop’s own event listing confirms its participation in the qualifier, but there is no fresh roster or injury news in the available sources that would justify a stronger edge than the current price already reflects.[7][14]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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