Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-6.5) vs AM Gaming (+6.5) | 0% Sashi Esport | 100% AM Gaming |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-9.5) vs AM Gaming (+9.5) | 0% Sashi Esport | 100% AM Gaming |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-9.5) vs AM Gaming (+9.5) | 0% Sashi Esport | 100% AM Gaming |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Sashi Esport | 0% AM Gaming |
Market context
The underlying event is the Lower Bracket Semifinal 2 match in Super Draculan Group A, where Sashi Esport faced AM Gaming in a Best of 3 Counter-Strike 2 series on June 25. The match has already concluded with Sashi Esport winning 2–1, securing Game 1 on Dust II (13–6), losing Game 2 on Ancient (14–16), and clinching Game 3 on Nuke (13–6)[1]. Top fragger Zyphon delivered 53 kills and 16 assists, directly influencing the outcome[1].
Historical precedents for 100% crowd-implied probabilities in live esports markets typically resolve when the match result is confirmed before settlement, as seen here where the series ended decisively within the scheduled window[1]. In comparable cases, such as the February 3, 2026 meeting where AM Gaming won 2–1, markets only settled to the winner once the final score was verified, avoiding the 50–50 tie clause that applies to cancellations or delays beyond seven days[1]. The current probability reflects this completed reality, not a prediction.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements confirming the final score and any post-match disciplinary actions, though no suspensions or injuries have been reported for either squad[4]. The settlement window ends on June 25, 2026, at 15:00 UTC, and since the match concluded at 9:00 AM ET, no further dependencies exist[1]. Recent form shows Sashi Esport won two of their last five matches, while AM Gaming secured two wins in their last five, indicating a competitive but now resolved contest[1].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Champions League Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?
- Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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