Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
43% | 57% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
43% | 57% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 43% TYLOO | 57% 9z |
| Map 2 Winner | 49% TYLOO | 51% 9z |
| Match Winner | 45% TYLOO | 56% 9z |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% Over | 53% Under |
| Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | 29% 9z | 71% TYLOO |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 51% Under |
Market context
TYLOO and 9z meet in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Round 4 fixture on 8 June, with the winner advancing deeper into the tournament bracket. The match is scheduled for 10:30 AM ET and will be played as a best-of-three series. TYLOO, the Chinese roster, have historically performed inconsistently at international LANs, whilst 9z, the Argentine side, have built recent momentum through South American qualifiers and regional dominance. The 44% implied probability for TYLOO reflects moderate confidence in 9z's chances, though the gap remains narrow enough to suggest genuine uncertainty about performance under major-event conditions.
Head-to-head records between these regions are sparse at this tier of competition, making recent form the primary differentiator. TYLOO's qualification path and current line-up stability matter considerably; any roster changes or player suspensions would shift the calculus substantially. 9z's recent tournament results, particularly their performance against established European and North American sides, will indicate whether their regional strength translates to the major stage. Traders should monitor official ESL announcements for any line-up confirmations or scheduling changes closer to the event date.
The settlement window closes on 8 June at 20:30 UTC, providing a six-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Delays beyond seven days without a completed match would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a tail risk worth noting given occasional technical issues at international events. Forfeiture or disqualification by either team would resolve the market to the advancing side, a scenario unlikely but possible if visa or eligibility complications arise.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo… on Champions League Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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