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Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $248K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs TDK (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%

Market context

WW Team face TDK in a CIS LAN Championship playoff BO3, with the market effectively pricing a near-certain WW Team win despite the available form data pointing the other way. Strafe lists TDK as rank #22 and WW Team at #67, with TDK winning four of their last five and WW Team three of their last five; it also notes this is their first recorded head-to-head in the matchup database.[1] The strongest historical reference point is that WW Team have already beaten TDK in a prior BO3 on 5 March 2026, when WW Team won 2-0 in the IZI WEX Season 1 playoffs.[7][8]

That earlier result matters because it shows WW Team can convert against this opponent in a short series, but the wider 2026 sample still leans towards TDK on ranking and recent win rate.[1][7] Comparable CIS LAN playoff results also suggest volatility: WW Team have had mixed outcomes across the season, including a 2-0 loss to 1WIN in the CIS LAN #4 playoffs and a 2-0 win over Nemiga in the current season’s knockout run, while TDK fell 2-0 to 1WIN in an earlier playoff tie.[2][10] In a BO3, map vetoes can narrow the gap quickly, so the market’s 100% YES implies traders are assuming either a late roster issue for TDK or a stale price rather than a straightforward form edge.

The main catalysts are line-up confirmation, start-time changes, and whether the semi-final stays on schedule. The fixture is listed for 30 July at around 09:00 UTC / 6:00AM ET, and any postponement, walkover, or bracket reshuffle before the settlement window closes would matter directly for a 50-50 fallback outcome.[1][3] Watch for official tournament updates, because a non-played match, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date all trigger 50-50 settlement under the market rules; if the series starts but ends by forfeit, the result still depends on which team is awarded the win.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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