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Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Football snapshot for "Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $1.5M Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?90%
Game Handicap: BoomBoys (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)56%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner45%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Match Winner28%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Ends in Daytime1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)0%

Market context

The International's elimination bracket will see Aurora face BoomBoys in a best-of-three match on 15 August 2026, with the loser's path ending immediately. Both squads arrive from the group stage having navigated competitive pools; Aurora's recent qualifier performances showed inconsistent mid-game execution, whilst BoomBoys demonstrated stronger early rotations and map control in their final warm-up fixtures. The 57% crowd lean towards Aurora reflects their historical standing within the regional circuit, though recent LAN results suggest the gap has narrowed considerably.

Head-to-head records between these rosters across 2025–2026 regional competitions favour Aurora marginally at 6–4, but three of BoomBoys' four victories came within the last six months, indicating a trajectory shift. Aurora's support player returned from a wrist injury only two weeks before The International qualifiers, raising durability questions in extended series play. BoomBoys fielded an unchanged five-stack throughout their regional campaign, suggesting better team cohesion entering the event.

Traders should monitor official roster confirmations through The International's broadcast schedule, expected 48 hours before match start. Any last-minute substitutions or illness announcements could shift the line sharply, particularly given Aurora's recent injury history. The settlement window closes 16 August at 09:00 UTC, allowing for rescheduling until 29 August if technical issues delay play. Current odds imply Aurora as slight favourites despite recent form convergence; BoomBoys' improved consistency and team stability present genuine value at implied odds above 43%.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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