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Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Any Player Rampage 100% Volume: $214K Liquidity: $211K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Any Player Rampage100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Game Handicap: DAN (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)0%

Market context

Dandelions meet Zero Tenacity in a best-of-three at the EPL Masters Play-In group stage, with the market near a dead-heat despite the current 0% YES price. On recent evidence, that zero is harder to justify than the tape suggests: Strafe lists Dandelions as the slightly higher-ranked side at #36, but also says they have won none of their last five, while Zero Tenacity have taken three of five and sit at #53.[1] Bo3.gg’s pre-match notes point the same way, flagging Dandelions’ weaker half-year win rate and Zero Tenacity’s stronger recent series record, while also noting both teams have shown volatility against different styles.[2]

The historical frame is thin because this is the first reported head-to-head between the sides, so traders have to lean more on current form and roster continuity than on matchup history.[1][2] That matters in a BO3, where recent map endurance and adaptation tend to decide more than raw team ranking. Dandelions have at least shown they can close out lower-tier opposition, but their recent losses to stronger regional teams suggest a ceiling problem when opponents can punish drafting or laning mistakes.[2] Zero Tenacity’s June run included multiple series wins, which is the more relevant comparator for a short group-stage series.[2]

The main catalysts to watch are line-up confirmation, start time changes, and whether the series is actually played as scheduled, because one listing has already marked the fixture as postponed/cancelled while other match pages show it live or underway, which is exactly the kind of scheduling noise that can force a 50-50 settlement if the game never resolves.[4][6][8] Team sheets on live match pages show full starters for both sides, with no suspension or injury issues reported in the available sources.[2][9] If there is a late format or timing shuffle around EPL Masters Play-In Group B, that is the factor most likely to move this market more than any headline ranking gap.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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