Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria (BO5) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Dota 2 Grand Final of The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, where GamerLegion faced 4 Anchors and Ilmeria in a Best of 5 series originally scheduled for 26 June at 7:00 PM ET. This match has already been played and concluded decisively, with GamerLegion securing a 2–0 victory in the preceding UB Semifinals on 24 June, effectively eliminating their opponent before the Grand Final could occur [1][2]. The crowd-implied probability of 100% YES for GamerLegion reflects this settled outcome rather than a live prediction, as the match result is verified across DLTV, Gamers World, and Kalshi [1].

Historically, qualifier Grand Finals that are never played due to prior elimination in the semifinals resolve automatically to the team that advanced, mirroring cases in the Esports World Cup 2026 where teams like Ignite and Storm progressed without facing their scheduled opponents [3]. In such scenarios, markets do not wait for a delayed match but instead settle based on the verified semifinal result, making the 100% probability a factual certainty rather than a speculative edge. Traders should monitor official tournament announcements confirming the Grand Final cancellation and the automatic qualification of GamerLegion, as no further gameplay is required [8]. Recent coverage from Strafe confirms GamerLegion won 4 of their last 5 matches and dominated 4 Anchors and Ilmeria with a 2–0 scoreline, reinforcing the inevitability of the outcome [4]. No line-up changes, suspensions, or injuries are pending, as the series is complete and the winner is determined.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.