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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

68 outcomes · leader: Game 2 Winner at 100%

Game 2 Winner 100% Outcomes: 68 Runner-up: 100% Σ 2559% Volume: $1.2M 24h volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $909K Opened: 4 Jun 2026 Closes: 4 Jun 2026

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between LGD Gaming and Team Yandex in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 4 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined,

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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Market statistics

Total volume
$1.2M
24h volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$909K
Open interest
$899K

Available prediction outcomes (68)

Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.

#1 Game 2 Winner
Game 2 Winner
Vol $556K · 24h $556K
100% Trade →
#2 O/U 2.5 Games
O/U 2.5 Games
Vol $1K · 24h $1K
100% Trade →
#3 Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?
Liq $1K
100% Trade →
#4 Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?
Liq $1K
100% Trade →
#5 Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
Liq $1K
100% Trade →
#6 Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?
Liq $1K
100% Trade →
#7 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?
Liq $1K
100% Trade →
#8 Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?
Liq $1K
100% Trade →
#9 Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?
Liq $1K
100% Trade →
#10 Both Teams Beat Roshan
Both Teams Beat Roshan
Liq $135
95% Trade →
#11 Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
Liq $558
95% Trade →
#12 Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
Liq $134
95% Trade →
#13 Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
95% Trade →
#14 First Blood in Game 2?
First Blood in Game 2?
Liq $129
90% Trade →
#15 Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
Liq $129
90% Trade →
#16 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?
Liq $129
90% Trade →
#17 Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
Liq $129
90% Trade →
#18 Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
Liq $129
90% Trade →
#19 Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?
Liq $129
90% Trade →
#20 Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?
Liq $129
90% Trade →
#21 Ends in Daytime
Ends in Daytime
50% Trade →
#22 Ends in Daytime
Ends in Daytime
50% Trade →
#23 Both Teams Beat Roshan
Both Teams Beat Roshan
50% Trade →
#24 Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
50% Trade →
#25 Any Player Ultra Kill
Any Player Ultra Kill
50% Trade →
#26 Any Player Rampage
Any Player Rampage
50% Trade →
#27 Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
50% Trade →
#28 Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
50% Trade →
#29 Match Winner
Match Winner
Vol $511K · 24h $511K
44% Trade →
#30 Any Player Ultra Kill
Any Player Ultra Kill
Vol $1 · 24h $1
10% Trade →
#31 Both Teams Beat Roshan
Both Teams Beat Roshan
Liq $130
10% Trade →
#32 Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 2?
Liq $129
10% Trade →
#33 Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 2?
Liq $129
10% Trade →
#34 Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2?
Liq $129
10% Trade →
#35 Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?
Liq $129
10% Trade →
#36 Any Player Ultra Kill
Any Player Ultra Kill
Liq $133
7% Trade →
#37 Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Liq $134
6% Trade →
#38 Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Liq $134
6% Trade →
#39 Ends in Daytime
Ends in Daytime
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#40 Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#41 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#42 Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
Liq $573
5% Trade →
#43 Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#44 Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
Liq $649
5% Trade →
#45 Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?
Liq $535
5% Trade →
#46 Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 2?
Liq $549
5% Trade →
#47 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
Liq $552
5% Trade →
#48 Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?
Liq $552
5% Trade →
#49 First Blood in Game 1?
First Blood in Game 1?
Liq $135
5% Trade →
#50 Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
Liq $586
5% Trade →
#51 Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#52 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#53 Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1?
Liq $579
5% Trade →
#54 Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#55 Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#56 Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#57 Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#58 Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#59 Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#60 Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#61 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#62 Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
Liq $134
5% Trade →
#63 Any Player Rampage
Any Player Rampage
Liq $134
4% Trade →
#64 Any Player Rampage
Any Player Rampage
Liq $570
4% Trade →
#65 Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
Liq $573
3% Trade →
#66 Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?
Liq $585
0% Trade →
#67 Game 1 Winner
Game 1 Winner
Vol $505K · 24h $505K
0% Trade →
#68 Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
Vol $8K · 24h $8K
0% Trade →

Market context

LGD Gaming face Team Yandex in the upper bracket semifinal of the BLAST Slam Playoffs on 4 June, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. LGD are the defending champions of multiple Dota 2 majors and consistently rank amongst the world's top three teams, whilst Team Yandex represent the CIS region and have qualified for this stage through the regional qualifier. The match is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET, with a best-of-three format determining progression.

The 0% implied probability reflects the substantial gap in competitive pedigree between the two squads. LGD have won The International 10 and multiple Majors, maintaining a roster with Ame, Somnus M, and xNova that has competed at the highest level for years. Team Yandex, by contrast, lack comparable international tournament wins and typically compete in regional circuits. Historical matchups between tier-one Chinese teams and CIS representatives show consistent dominance from the former, particularly in playoff settings where preparation depth matters significantly.

Traders should monitor for roster changes or last-minute withdrawals, though neither team has announced significant line-up alterations ahead of the event. The settlement window closes at 21:15 UTC on 4 June, allowing approximately nine hours post-scheduled start time for the match to conclude. Any cancellation, tie, or failure to complete within seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled and LGD's current form heading into playoffs will be the primary catalysts affecting the probability from its current extreme position.

Wikipedia Context

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Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/BLASTDota. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

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