Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.2M
- 24h volume
- $1.2M
- Liquidity
- $909K
- Open interest
- $899K
Available prediction outcomes (68)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
LGD Gaming face Team Yandex in the upper bracket semifinal of the BLAST Slam Playoffs on 4 June, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. LGD are the defending champions of multiple Dota 2 majors and consistently rank amongst the world's top three teams, whilst Team Yandex represent the CIS region and have qualified for this stage through the regional qualifier. The match is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET, with a best-of-three format determining progression.
The 0% implied probability reflects the substantial gap in competitive pedigree between the two squads. LGD have won The International 10 and multiple Majors, maintaining a roster with Ame, Somnus M, and xNova that has competed at the highest level for years. Team Yandex, by contrast, lack comparable international tournament wins and typically compete in regional circuits. Historical matchups between tier-one Chinese teams and CIS representatives show consistent dominance from the former, particularly in playoff settings where preparation depth matters significantly.
Traders should monitor for roster changes or last-minute withdrawals, though neither team has announced significant line-up alterations ahead of the event. The settlement window closes at 21:15 UTC on 4 June, allowing approximately nine hours post-scheduled start time for the match to conclude. Any cancellation, tie, or failure to complete within seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled and LGD's current form heading into playoffs will be the primary catalysts affecting the probability from its current extreme position.
Wikipedia Context
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Dota UnderlordsDota Underlords is a 2020 auto battler game developed and published by Valve. The game is based on a popular Dota 2 community-created game mode called Dota Auto Chess, which was released in January 2019. Dota Underlords first released in early access in June 2019 before officially releasing on February 25, 2020, for Android, iOS, macOS, Linux, and Windows. T
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Dota GozenDota Gozen , also known as Tsuchida Gozen, was a Japanese noblewoman and the mother of Oda Nobunaga, a major daimyō and politician of the Sengoku period regarded as the first "Great Unifier" of Japan.
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Multiplayer online battle arena
Multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) is a subgenre of strategy video games in which two teams of players compete on a structured battlefield, each controlling a single character with distinctive abilities that grow stronger as the match progresses. The objective is to destroy the enemy team's main structure while defending one's own. In some MOBA games, th
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Dota: Dragon's BloodDota: Dragon's Blood is an adult animated epic fantasy television series. It is based on Dota 2, the 2013 video game by Valve. The show is produced by Studio Mir in association with Ashley Edward Miller's company Kaiju Boulevard. The series premiered on Netflix on March 25, 2021, and concluded on August 11, 2022.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/BLASTDota. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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