Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MOUZ’s meeting with Yellow Submarine in the Europe closed qualifier playoffs is not a dead-even coin flip on the available evidence, but the crowd’s 0% YES implies the market has already priced MOUZ as effectively dead or misclassified around the live state. The wider form picture is mixed: recent match databases show Yellow Submarine have had the better head-to-head run, winning four of the last five series since July 2024, including a 2-0 in July 2025 and 2-1 wins in August 2025 and May 2026, while MOUZ’s own recent results were patchy through May, with a win over Nemiga followed by a run of series losses in 1win Essence I.[1][2][3]

For traders, the key catalyst is simple: whether the series is actually completed and which result is officially recorded before the settlement window closes. Live score pages show the qualifier match listed on 22 June 2026 at 08:00 UTC, with one source already showing a live or paused state and a Yellow Submarine lead, which matters because incomplete matches can still resolve to 50-50 under the market rules if the series is abandoned or not finished in time.[2][4] Any late admin decision, replay requirement, server issue, or schedule change pushing the match beyond the seven-day limit would dominate the pricing more than historical form.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.