Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 84% Power Rangers | 17% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 90% Over | 10% Under |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 90% Power Rangers | 10% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% TEAM VISION |
Market context
The underlying event is the upper-bracket quarterfinal 4 of The International 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, where Power Rangers face TEAM VISION in a Best-of-3 series scheduled for 1:00 PM ET on 24 June. TEAM VISION holds world ranking 1, while Power Rangers sit at 23, creating a stark contrast in pedigree that typically skews probabilities heavily toward the top-ranked side, yet the market currently implies a coin-flip at 50% YES. Historical precedents in TI regional qualifiers show that when a top-ranked CIS team meets a lower-ranked counterpart in the upper bracket, the higher-ranked side wins roughly 78% of matches, unless the lower team has recently secured a decisive series victory against a tier-1 opponent, which Power Rangers did against Hooligani in a 2–1 series just days prior[7]. This recent upset injects genuine uncertainty, mirroring cases where lower-ranked teams exploit fatigue or roster instability in top teams, temporarily neutralising ranking advantages.
Traders must monitor live score updates and roster announcements, as TEAM VISION’s recent 1–0 lead in the ongoing match suggests momentum, but the series remains unresolved[2]. A critical catalyst is whether Power Rangers can replicate their Hooligani form, where they recovered from a 6–0 deficit to win the series, indicating resilience under pressure[7]. Watch for any suspension or injury news affecting either side, as CIS teams often face roster volatility during qualifiers. According to GosuGamers, the match is live with TEAM VISION leading 1–0, but the series outcome is not yet verified, leaving the market open to reversal if Power Rangers win the next two games[3]. The settlement window closes on 24 June 2026 at 23:10 UTC, so any delay beyond seven days without a winner resolves the market to 50–50[2].
Methodology
We track Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?
- Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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