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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 93% Game 1 Winner 86% Game 2 Winner 86% Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) 75% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $432K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner93%
Game 1 Winner86%
Game 2 Winner86%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)75%
Any Player Ultra Kill57%
Any Player Rampage55%
Both Teams Beat Roshan53%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?41%
Both Teams Beat Roshan40%
Both Teams Beat Roshan40%
Any Player Ultra Kill37%
Any Player Ultra Kill37%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks32%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks32%
O/U 2.5 Games24%
Any Player Rampage12%
Any Player Rampage12%

Market context

Market consensus: 93% chance of dota 2: team vision vs team resilience (bo3) - the international group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between TEAM VISION and Team Resilience in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:00PM ET. This …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

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