Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Execration’s lower-bracket quarter-final against Mentality Monster was a best-of-three in the Southeast Asia closed qualifier, and the market has already been decided on the server: score trackers show Execration winning the series 2-1, with the match finished on 22 June 2026.[2][4][6] That makes the current 0% crowd-implied probability for a YES settlement look entirely mechanical rather than a live read on team strength; in a resolved matchup, the only price-relevant question is whether the market’s settlement conditions match the published result. Execration came into the tie with a modest recent record, winning two of their last five matches on Strafe’s dataset, while Mentality Monster had also been posting mixed results rather than a clear upward run.[2]

For historical framing, the cleanest comparable is a matchup with limited or no prior head-to-head evidence: both Strafe and Scores24 note that this was the first recorded meeting between the sides, which reduces the value of direct history and pushes traders towards form, opponent quality and bracket context instead.[2][5] Execration were also rated slightly higher in the available ranking snapshots, with Strafe placing them at #18 and GosuGamers listing them around world rank 45 versus Mentality Monster’s 50, suggesting only a narrow pre-match separation rather than a dominant mismatch.[2][4]

The main catalyst now is administrative rather than competitive: whether the result is formally recorded before the settlement window closes, and whether the event page, bracket advance and score sources remain aligned.[1][2][4] Live match feeds showed the series in progress before completion, so any trader watching a delayed or disputed settlement would focus on tournament organiser confirmation and scoreboard finalisation, not line-up news or suspensions, as no roster-availability issues are indicated in the available reports.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.