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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

"Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5) 100% Volume: $203K Liquidity: $113K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?75%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?74%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?26%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?25%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?25%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)0%

Market context

Yellow Submarine’s Group A opener against Execration has been listed to start at 05:00 UTC, with several fixtures and live-score pages still showing the match as scheduled rather than completed. That matters for a market already priced at 100% yes: the most immediate risk is not a competitive upset but a scheduling or status change, because prediction markets here also resolve to 50-50 if the game is cancelled, tied, or pushed out beyond the seven-day settlement window. [1][12][18]

On recent form, Yellow Submarine have the clearer record in the available summaries, with one source showing a 61% win rate over the last three months, a better KDA and higher average GPM than Execration, while Execration are listed lower in the same ranking snapshot and with a weaker recent win/loss split. The head-to-head angle is thin because the available market pages do not show a meaningful prior series between these two, so traders are leaning more on current team level than on direct matchup history. [3][5][19]

The main catalysts are roster confirmation and whether the match actually runs in the published slot. One Russian-language match page lists Yellow Submarine with shigetsu, Rain, batyuk, ryota and Xakoda, while Execration’s page has circulated with multiple lineup variants across different listings, which is a reminder that late roster edits can matter more than pre-match ratings in group-stage Dota. Live pages are already tracking the series, so any delay, abandonment, or reschedule should be visible quickly; in a best-of-three, the key line move usually comes from whether the reported start time holds and whether both teams field the expected five. [3][10][16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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