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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Volume: $425K Liquidity: $209K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)0%

Market context

Zero Tenacity meet Level UP in a best-of-three Group B playoff-style fixture, with the market’s 0% YES pricing implying either a stale setup or a late-read on a result that, on the available numbers, does not look settled in advance. The clearest comparable is their last reported meeting on 23 March 2026, when Zero Tenacity won 2-0, and head-to-head data across the available listings shows Zero Tenacity ahead in the matchup record[1][2]. Recent form is mixed rather than dominant: Zero Tenacity are shown winning four of their last five on one source, while Level UP have only two wins in five and a much weaker recent run on another tracker[1][2][5].

For traders, the main catalysts are roster confirmation, start-time changes, and whether both sides arrive with the same line-up that generated the recent form numbers. Available previews describe Zero Tenacity as relatively stable, with a listed starter core around MikSa, nesfeer, desire, Worick and MoOz, while Level UP’s cited line-up features Ainkrad, bb3px, WoE and queezy, but none of the sources indicate a fresh suspension or injury issue affecting the series[3][6]. Market participants should also watch for live bracket or scheduling edits, because the market settles on a narrow window and any cancellation, non-played match, or major delay could force a 50-50 outcome rather than a normal win/loss resolution[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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