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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Football snapshot for "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Match Winner 86% Game 1 Winner 77% Game 2 Winner 76% Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) 62% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $710K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner86%
Game 1 Winner77%
Game 2 Winner76%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?57%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games33%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?32%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?28%

Market context

Anyone’s Legend meet EDward Gaming in this LPL Group Ascend best-of-three with the market already leaning hard to Anyone’s Legend at 77%. That price fits the wider form gap: Anyone’s Legend beat EDward Gaming 3-0 on 30 May 2026, and the head-to-head note on Bo3.gg says that result continues a clear tactical edge for Anyone’s Legend[2][1]. Bo3.gg also lists Anyone’s Legend at around a 66% win rate over the recent half-year, while EDward Gaming arrive off a run of losses, including a 0-3 defeat to Anyone’s Legend and another 0-3 loss to AG.AL, which frames this as more than a one-off matchup edge[1].

For traders, the key watchpoints are whether both teams field the same starters and whether the series starts on schedule, because any late delay or cancellation changes the settlement mechanics rather than the sporting read. The posted matchup pages show the event timed for early 31 July, but the market description makes clear that a non-played fixture, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days would settle 50-50, while an incomplete match decided by forfeiture or walkover would also go to 50-50[3][4]. Live team-sheet confirmation matters because the earlier May meeting was played with Anyone’s Legend’s standard core, including Tarzan, Shanks, Hope, Flandre and Kael, and there is no injury or suspension issue flagged in the available sources for either side[10][14].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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