Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% BOMBA Team | 100% Anubis Gaming |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: ANB (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) | 100% Anubis Gaming | 0% BOMBA Team |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
BOMBA Team face Anubis Gaming in a best-of-three elimination match within EMEA Masters Group D on 11 June 2026, with the loser's tournament run ending immediately. The fixture carries standard League of Legends competitive weight for regional qualification pathways, though neither organisation commands the infrastructure or sponsorship visibility of franchised LEC entities. Settlement hinges on match completion by 18 June; any cancellation, tie result, or unresolved delay triggers a 50-50 split.
The 0% implied probability reflects either severe data scarcity or a technical market condition rather than genuine certainty about Anubis Gaming's prospects. EMEA Masters operates as a secondary competitive tier where roster stability fluctuates considerably between seasons, and historical head-to-head records between lower-tier organisations often prove unreliable predictors when line-up changes occur. Without recent fixture results, player transfer announcements, or suspension notices from Riot Games' disciplinary systems, traders lack the granular information typically required to calibrate meaningful odds. The absence of public betting consensus on this pairing suggests limited market liquidity or incomplete fixture data propagation.
Traders should monitor Riot Games' official EMEA Masters schedule confirmation and any last-minute roster updates from either organisation's social channels through to match day. Coaching staff changes, substitute player rotations, or technical issues affecting broadcast infrastructure could all influence settlement conditions. The seven-day delay clause creates material risk; fixture rescheduling is not uncommon in regional competitions when venue or broadcast scheduling conflicts arise. Verification of both teams' participation status remains the primary catalyst before settlement window closure.
Methodology
We track LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?
- Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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