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LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

Football snapshot for "LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 52% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $719K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)40%
Game 1 Winner37%
Game 2 Winner36%
Match Winner36%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

CTBC Flying Oyster face GAM Esports in a best-of-three LCP Group Stage series, and the market’s 37% price on CTBC Flying Oyster is below the longer-run matchup record but not wildly out of line with the teams’ recent split-level volatility. Across the available head-to-head snapshots, CFO have tended to hold the edge overall, with one source listing an 8-2 series lead and another showing 14 wins to 6 in a larger sample, yet GAM have taken the most recent meetings in 2026, including a 2-0 regular-season win in January and a 2-1 win in May.[4][7][16] That recent swing matters because this is a BO3 rather than a single map, and short series have been kinder to the team that can convert early draft advantages into clean closures.[4][18]

The main trader catalysts are lineup confirmation, timing, and any late changes to the LCP schedule. Public match pages currently list the core players for both sides, with CFO built around Rest, Shad0w, POUT, Doggo and Kino, while GAM’s listed roster centres on Kiaya, Draktharr, Aress, Artemis and Taki; no injury or suspension issues are flagged in the available listings.[7][14][20] Recent form also points in different directions: one source shows both teams around two wins in their last five, but GAM’s stronger recent head-to-head record and their higher split finish in 2026 Split 2 are the cleaner form arguments on their side.[4][18] The market should resolve from the match outcome only if the series is completed before the settlement window closes; any cancellation, tie, or excessive delay would push it to 50-50 under the rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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