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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

"LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $570K Liquidity: $697K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)0%

Market context

DN SOOPers Challengers face Dplus KIA Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, with the market effectively pricing a straightforward Dplus KIA win at 100% implied probability. That is a very strong signal for the favourite, but it can also reflect stale or thin liquidity rather than true certainty, especially in a Best-of-3 where one upset map can still shift the path to a series result. Recent comparative data still gives Dplus KIA the edge on paper, with GosuGamers listing them above DN SOOPers in world ranking, and Strafe describing Dplus KIA as having won their last five matches.[3][11]

The historical frame is not one-sided enough to justify total confidence. The teams split their most recent head-to-heads in 2026, with DN SOOPers winning 2-0 on 4 May and Dplus KIA winning 2-0 on 3 April, while older match history also shows Dplus KIA and DN SOOPers taking turns landing series wins across earlier split meetings.[8][10] That kind of evenly matched record matters in Challenger play, where roster churn and form swings often outweigh longer-term reputation. Polymarket’s own market note also flags DN SOOPers’ recent momentum, including a three-match win streak and a 2-0 head-to-head earlier in the summer split, which is a direct warning against treating the favourite as invulnerable.[2]

For traders, the main catalysts are line-up confirmation, any schedule change, and whether the match starts on time, because the settlement window ends on 3 August 2026 at 17:00 UTC. So far the public listings simply show the fixture as upcoming, with no clear injury or suspension issue surfaced in the match pages, so the key risk is a late roster announcement or broadcast delay rather than a known availability problem.[1][3][17] In Challenger League markets, those last-minute team-sheet and timing updates can matter more than broad season records, particularly when the market is already close to fully one-sided.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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