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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

"LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $317K Liquidity: $731K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?10%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Fluxo W7M and FURIA Esports meet in a CBLOL regular-season best-of-three, and the market’s 0% YES pricing is in line with the broader record rather than a one-off upset script. FURIA have generally had the stronger head-to-head profile across recent meetings, with results logged as 2-0 in April 2026 and earlier wins over Fluxo in 2025, while historical matchup pages show FURIA ahead in the series tally and better recent standing in rankings and form indicators.[1][3][6][10][11][13]

For traders, the main questions are whether the scheduled start is kept and whether either side makes late roster or substitute changes, as those are the only realistic catalysts that can move a near-absolute market. The match was listed to begin on 9 August 2026 at 18:00 UTC, and current live listings indicate it is the same CBLOL regular-season fixture rather than a rescheduled or altered event.[2][11] In practical terms, the price is most sensitive to any official pre-match announcement on line-up confirmation, competitive integrity issues, or a delay beyond the settlement window; absent that, historical results and team strength point towards FURIA as the clear favourite.[4][7][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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