Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) | 0% Fluxo W7M | 100% LOUD |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Fluxo W7M | 100% LOUD |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Fluxo W7M | 100% LOUD |
| Match Winner | 0% Fluxo W7M | 100% LOUD |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) | 100% LOUD | 0% Fluxo W7M |
Market context
Fluxo W7M face LOUD in a lower bracket quarterfinal match within the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs on 10 June. The fixture determines progression toward the regional finals, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. Both organisations compete within the Brazilian and Latin American League of Legends ecosystem, where roster stability and recent domestic performance carry substantial weight in determining match outcomes.
The 0% implied probability for Fluxo W7M reflects LOUD's established standing as one of the region's premier organisations. LOUD has consistently fielded competitive rosters and maintains stronger historical records against mid-tier opponents. However, lower bracket matches frequently produce unexpected results when teams face elimination pressure, particularly if Fluxo W7M have secured recent victories in earlier playoff rounds or demonstrated improved form during the group stage. Historical precedent in regional qualifiers shows that seeding advantages diminish considerably once teams enter elimination brackets, especially in best-of-three formats where single strategic adjustments can shift momentum.
Traders should monitor official roster confirmations and any last-minute line-up changes announced before the scheduled 2:00PM ET start time, as substitutions or player absences materially alter competitive balance. Patch notes released prior to the match window may also favour one team's champion pool or macro approach. The settlement window closes at midnight UTC on 11 June, allowing approximately 22 hours post-match for result confirmation. Delays beyond seven days without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution, a consideration relevant if technical issues or scheduling conflicts emerge during the tournament.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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