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LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 76% Game 1 Winner 71% Game 2 Winner 71% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Volume: $242K Liquidity: $538K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner76%
Game 1 Winner71%
Game 2 Winner71%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?60%
First Blood in Game 1?56%
First Blood in Game 2?56%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?47%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
O/U 2.5 Games43%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?35%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 76% probability to lol: gen.g vs dplus kia (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Gen.G and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 18 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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