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LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

"LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 52% Any Player Penta Kill 52% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $151K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?49%
Match Winner46%
Game 1 Winner45%
Game 2 Winner45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

JD Gaming meet Anyone’s Legend in an LPL Group Ascend best-of-three, with the market at 44% YES for JDG despite the sides looking close on recent evidence. That pricing fits a fixture that has repeatedly swung on small edges rather than one-sided dominance: JD Gaming have won the most recent recorded series between the teams, but Anyone’s Legend have also taken several of the last five meetings, leaving the head-to-head close enough to support a near coin-flip read[1][8][9].

The historical frame is mixed. JD Gaming’s broader series record in the matchup has been slightly better overall, and recent summaries show them stabilising after a choppy run by taking wins over stronger domestic opponents, including Bilibili Gaming, while Anyone’s Legend have also put together a competitive sequence of results against top-ranked LPL sides[1]. That is the sort of profile that often keeps a BO3 price tight, because map one volatility matters and either side can convert a small draft or early-game edge into a 2-0 or 2-1.

The main catalysts are line-up confirmation, draft priorities and any schedule slippage before the 23 July start. Live match listings place the series for 09:00 UTC, and any late roster changes would matter because both teams’ recent form has been driven by the current five-man cores rather than long-term franchise strength[3][7][11]. Traders should also watch for whether the series is moved or interrupted, as the settlement rules on non-completion create a different outcome from a clean finish.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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