LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

LOUD and Vivo Keyd Stars meet in the upper bracket quarterfinals of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM League of Legends qualifier on 7 June. The match determines progression toward the international tournament slot, with the winner advancing directly and the loser dropping to the lower bracket. LOUD enter as the region's most established franchise, having qualified for Worlds multiple times, whilst Vivo Keyd Stars represent a secondary challenger from the Brazilian competitive scene.

The 0% implied probability reflects LOUD's substantial structural advantage. LOUD finished the 2024 CBLOL regular season as title contenders with a stable five-player roster and coaching infrastructure built for high-stakes competition. Vivo Keyd Stars, by contrast, operate with considerably fewer resources and have historically struggled to maintain consistency against top-tier opposition. Head-to-head records between these organisations show LOUD winning the majority of encounters over the past two seasons, though specific 2025 matchup data remains limited given the compressed regional schedule.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions before the 12:00 PM ET start. The settlement window extends to 22:00 UTC on 7 June, providing a seven-hour buffer for technical delays or scheduling shifts. Any postponement beyond 14 June triggers the 50-50 resolution clause. Recent CBLOL broadcast schedules have remained stable, though internet infrastructure issues affecting South American esports events warrant attention. Injury or visa complications affecting either team's key players—particularly LOUD's mid or ADC positions—would represent the primary catalyst for line movement.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.