LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Misa Esports and UCAM Esports Club meet in a League of Legends best-of-three fixture within EMEA Masters Group A on 11 June, with the match originally scheduled for 11:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability suggests either a technical issue with market seeding or substantial pre-match uncertainty that hasn't yet been priced in by traders.

EMEA Masters Group A typically features competitive mid-tier European and regional squads, though roster stability and scrim performance data remain opaque to public markets. Historical precedent shows that matches between lesser-known EMEA Masters teams often hinge on preparation depth and substitute availability rather than headline-grabbing individual talent. Previous seasons have seen upsets when teams fielded untested line-ups or faced unexpected roster changes weeks before competition. The current 0% reading is anomalous for a scheduled fixture and warrants checking whether either organisation has announced cancellations, withdrawals, or administrative complications that might trigger the 50-50 tie-resolution clause.

Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters communications and team social channels through to the settlement window closing on 11 June at 21:00 UTC for any announcements regarding fixture postponement, player suspensions, or organisational issues. Scrim results and team practice schedules occasionally leak through esports community forums and Discord channels, though such intelligence carries reliability risks. Confirmation that both squads fielded their intended rosters and the match proceeded to completion remains the baseline requirement for standard settlement.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.