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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

"LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Match Winner 70% Game 1 Winner 63% Game 2 Winner 63% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 56% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $120K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner70%
Game 1 Winner63%
Game 2 Winner63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Any Player Penta Kill47%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
First Blood in Game 2?39%
First Blood in Game 1?39%
Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)38%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?38%

Market context

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season — current market-implied probability: 70%. This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and Dignitas in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 15 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" i…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

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