Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
Market context
Team Solid and RMD Gaming met in a Best-of-1 match on 20 July 2026 during Week 1 of the Circuito Desafiante Split 2 Regular Season, with Team Solid securing a 1–0 victory [2][5]. This result overturns the prior head-to-head record where RMD had won the only previous encounter in March 2026, ending Team Solid’s 0–1 deficit against them [1][3]. Despite Team Solid’s dismal 1–8 record in Split 1 and a current 10% winrate over recent outings, the 100% YES probability implies the market has fully priced in their Split 2 turnaround, treating the March loss as an outlier rather than a trend [4][6].
Traders should monitor official post-match confirmations from the tournament organiser and any roster announcements, as Team Solid’s acquisition of the Corinthians Esports slot has already reshaped their competitive trajectory [6]. The key catalyst is whether Team Solid’s single Split 2 win signals sustained improvement or a temporary spike, given their six-match losing streak prior to this fixture [4]. RMD Gaming, ranked world #86 compared to Team Solid’s #105, holds a stronger Split 1 finish (3–6) but has also suffered three consecutive losses recently, raising questions about their current form [4][6]. Any delay beyond seven days or cancellation would trigger a 50–50 settlement, though the match has already concluded [1].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desaf… on Champions League Prediction
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