LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Secret Whales face Deep Cross Gaming in the LCP Grand Final best-of-five series on 7 June, with the match scheduled for 05:00 ET. The 70% implied probability favours Team Secret Whales, reflecting their progression through the playoff bracket and perceived roster strength heading into the championship decider.

Historical precedent from LCP finals suggests that seeding and regular-season dominance correlate strongly with playoff outcomes, though upsets remain possible when underdog teams execute focused strategies. Deep Cross Gaming's path to the final indicates they've overcome higher-ranked opposition, which typically signals tactical preparation and momentum that can compress the probability gap in best-of-five formats. Previous LCP Grand Finals have occasionally seen the favoured team falter when facing unconventional draft approaches or if key players underperform on the largest stage.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 7 June settlement window closes. Patch changes to League of Legends between now and the match date could disproportionately favour one team's champion pool or playstyle. Team Secret Whales' recent scrim results and any public statements from coaching staff regarding preparation will provide signals about confidence levels. Similarly, watch for injury or technical issues affecting either squad in the days immediately preceding the final. The five-day window between scheduling and settlement offers limited time for major disruptions, though delays beyond 7 June would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.