Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars | 0% LOS |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars | 100% LOS |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% Vivo Keyd Stars | 50% LOS |
| Match Winner | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars | 100% LOS |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) | 0% LOS | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars |
Market context
Vivo Keyd Stars face LOS in the Lower Bracket Final of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three League of Legends match scheduled for 13 June at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances to the regional qualifier finals with a shot at the international tournament; the loser's season ends. The 100% crowd probability reflects either overwhelming confidence in one team's superiority or sparse liquidity in what remains a niche esports market with limited historical trading volume.
Vivo Keyd Stars have been the dominant force in Brazilian League of Legends for multiple seasons, consistently finishing atop regular seasons and winning domestic titles. LOS, by contrast, represents the secondary tier of South American competition and qualified for this playoff bracket through the lower seed. Head-to-head records between these organisations typically favour Keyd Stars decisively, though playoff matches occasionally produce upsets when preparation and meta-read diverge from regular season form. Recent roster stability at Keyd Stars contrasts with potential line-up adjustments at LOS, a factor that historically correlates with performance variance in regional qualifiers.
Traders should monitor official announcements regarding any technical delays or schedule shifts, as the settlement window extends to 22:00 UTC on 13 June—allowing a ten-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Patch changes deployed immediately before the match window can reshape champion viability and team preparation quality, particularly for organisations with differing scrim access. Any last-minute roster changes or player illness notifications would materialise through official CBLOL or regional federation channels within 24 hours of match time.
Methodology
We track LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?
- Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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