Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5) | 91% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 91% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 91% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5) | 91% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-7.5) vs Eternal Fire (+7.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-8.5) vs Eternal Fire (+8.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: eternal fire vs eintracht frankfurt (bo3) - vct emea play-ins. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Eternal Fire and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This m…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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