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What price will Ethereum hit August 3-9?

Football snapshot for "What price will Ethereum hit August 3-9?" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

↓ 1,800 52% ↑ 2,000 18% ↓ 1,700 12% ↑ 2,100 5% Volume: $58K Liquidity: $136K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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What price will Ethereum hit August 3-9?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
↓ 1,80052%
↑ 2,00018%
↓ 1,70012%
↑ 2,1005%
↓ 1,6004%
↑ 2,2002%
↓ 1,5002%
↑ 2,4001%
↑ 2,3001%
↓ 1,4001%
↑ 2,6000%
↑ 2,5000%
↓ 1,3000%
↓ 1,2000%

Market context

Ethereum is trading around **$1,739**, well below its 52-week high of **$4,955.90** and roughly **37% lower** than a year ago, which puts the market in a weaker base than many bullish August forecasts assume.[1][7] That matters for a weekly “hit” market: ETH does not need a full trend reversal to clear a modest strike, but it does need enough momentum to recover from a heavy drawdown. Recent live pricing has also shown the coin stuck in the mid-$1,700s to high-$1,800s area, with some August models calling for a much lower path into the first half of the month.[5][13]

Historically, the most useful comparison is not to long-run averages but to ETH’s own recent swing structure. In late July, one market note put Ethereum at **$1,887.46** after a pullback from **$1,934**, with a descending trendline still limiting recovery attempts.[8] That is a familiar pattern for traders reading a zero-probability price range: when spot is already below nearby resistance and broader forecasts vary from roughly **$1,300** to above **$3,000** for August, the market is signalling that a decisive upside break is being treated as a low-frequency outcome rather than a base case.[10][13][15]

The main catalysts are likely to be macro crypto risk appetite, any shift in ETF or institutional flows, and whether ETH can reclaim the low-$1,800s that have acted as a nearby technical pivot in recent commentary.[8][9] A live Robinhood prediction market on ETH’s opening August range showed prices clustered around **$1,850–$1,860**, which suggests traders are watching the first session for signs of whether the coin can stabilise above current spot or slip back towards support.[9] Any sharp move in Bitcoin, a change in funding conditions, or a fresh network or regulatory headline would matter most because this market only needs one clean spike during the settlement window, not a sustained trend.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for What price will Ethereum hit August 3-9?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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