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What price will Ethereum hit in August?

How the prediction market is pricing "What price will Ethereum hit in August?" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

↑ 1,900 90% ↓ 1,800 78% ↑ 2,000 62% ↓ 1,700 46% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $372K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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What price will Ethereum hit in August?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
↑ 1,90090%
↓ 1,80078%
↑ 2,00062%
↓ 1,70046%
↑ 2,10038%
↓ 1,60026%
↑ 2,20021%
↓ 1,50014%
↑ 2,30012%
↓ 1,40010%
↑ 2,4007%
↑ 2,5004%
↓ 1,3004%
↓ 1,2003%
↑ 2,6002%
↑ 3,0001%
↑ 2,7001%
↓ 1,1001%
↓ 1,0001%
↓ 9001%

Market context

Ethereum is trading in a market where the implied chance of a very high August print is extremely thin, with the crowd pricing only a 1% chance of the specific upside outcome. That sits well below the range most published 2026 forecasts cluster around: several models place August expectations nearer the low-to-mid $2,000s, with conservative estimates around $1,700-$1,800 and more bullish calls extending above $2,500. Recent analyst notes also show ETH failing to hold a rising trendline, with immediate support cited near $1,807 and $1,717, while resistance is marked around $2,000 and then $2,400[2][3][1].

For traders, the key catalyst is whether ETH can sustain a break back above the short-term resistance band rather than simply spike through it. Coinpedia’s recent August view says ETH is near $1,865 after losing the July trendline, and that reclaiming it could open a move to $2,000, with $2,029 the first major barrier and $2,400 the next zone to watch[2]. CryptoSlate’s market framing is similar, describing a compressed V-shaped month with an early recovery towards $1,900 that then struggles to extend beyond $2,100; it also cites Polymarket odds of 89.5% for $1,900, 48.5% for $2,000 and 39.5% for $2,100[4]. That leaves the market sensitive to any ETF-flow headlines, network upgrade timelines, or broader crypto liquidity shifts that can re-rate short-term momentum quickly[2][4][18].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for What price will Ethereum hit in August?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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