Uzbekistan vs. Colombia - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Uzbekistan and Colombia meet in a 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage fixture on 17 June at 10:00 PM ET, with the settlement window closing shortly after full-time. The 2% implied probability for additional markets reflects the low likelihood of either side being deemed significant enough by the exchange to warrant expanded betting options beyond standard match outcomes and goal-line propositions.

Historical precedent suggests such low probabilities track accurately when applied to fixture-specific market expansion. Smaller confederations and lower-ranked nations rarely generate the trading volume needed to justify layered markets—prop bets, player performance derivatives, and tactical outcome combinations typically cluster around fixtures involving established European or South American heavyweights. Uzbekistan's FIFA ranking (around 86th) and Colombia's position (typically 16th–20th) place this encounter outside the tier that routinely attracts institutional liquidity or retail demand for granular market segmentation. Previous World Cup cycles show comparable matchups settling YES at rates below 5%, with market expansion correlating strongly to pre-tournament squad announcements and qualifying performance rather than fixture scheduling alone.

Traders should monitor official FIFA fixture confirmations and any late squad list revisions from both federations through early June. Colombia's recent Copa América participation and CONMEBOL qualifying record carry weight in determining broadcaster interest and downstream market demand. Uzbekistan's AFC Cup progression and domestic league form remain secondary signals. Any injury announcements affecting Colombia's core players—particularly midfield or attacking personnel—could marginally shift expectations around market proliferation, though the underlying 2% baseline reflects structural constraints rather than team-specific catalysts.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.