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Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?

How the prediction market is pricing "Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Creeper 100% Skeleton 100% Spider 100% Wither Skeleton 100% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $57K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Creeper100%
Skeleton100%
Spider100%
Wither Skeleton100%
Zombified Piglin100%
Creeper (again)100%
Zombie50%
Wither Skeleton (again)50%
Creeper (again)50%
Skeleton (again)50%
Creeper (again)25%
Enderman14%
Polar Bear7%
Ghast5%
Piglin5%
Zombie (again)5%
Blaze3%
Skeleton (again)2%
Phantom1%
Iron Golem1%
Witch1%
Pillager1%
Hoglin1%
Wither Skeleton (again)1%
Zombified Piglin (again)1%
Warden1%
Elder Guardian1%
Vex1%
Spider (again)1%
Slime0%
Wither0%
Ender Dragon0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?. Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET, in which they will attempt to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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