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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Football snapshot for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 92% Avengers: Doomsday 8% Wicked: For Good 0% Wuthering Heights 0% Volume: $16.7M Liquidity: $2.6M Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spider-Man: Brand New Day92%
Avengers: Doomsday8%
Wicked: For Good0%
Wuthering Heights0%
Scream 70%
Michael0%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu0%
Toy Story 50%
The Odyssey0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0%
Dune: Messiah0%
Project Hail Mary0%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie0%
Jumanji 30%
Minions & Monsters0%
Movie D0%
Movie E0%
Movie F0%
Movie G0%
Movie H0%
Movie I0%
Movie J0%
Movie K0%
Movie L0%
Movie M0%
Movie N0%
Movie O0%
Other0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, highest grossing movie in 2026? stands at 92% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=ca…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest grossing movie in 2026?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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