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Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

"Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Angela Rayner 100% Wes Streeting 100% Yvette Cooper 100% Shabana Mahmood 100% Volume: $151K Liquidity: $179K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Angela Rayner100%
Wes Streeting100%
Yvette Cooper100%
Shabana Mahmood100%
Pat McFadden100%
Bridget Phillipson100%
Ed Miliband100%
Lisa Nandy100%
Heidi Alexander100%
Jonathan Reynolds100%
Alan Campbell100%
John Healey100%
Louise Haigh100%
Catherine West6%
Jacqui Smith4%
Jess Phillips3%
James Murray2%
Ian Murray2%
Keir Starmer1%
Rachel Reeves1%
David Lammy1%
Darren Jones1%
Steve Reed1%
Dan Jarvis1%
Liz Kendall1%
Peter Kyle1%
Hilary Benn1%
Jo Stevens1%
Patrick Vallance1%

Market context

The Who will be in the Burnham cabinet? prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise,…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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