# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest video will accumulate views during its first 48 hours on YouTube, with the market resolving based on which bracket the final count falls into. The creator's upload patterns and audience engagement directly determine the outcome, making historical performance the primary reference point for calibrating expectations.

MrBeast has consistently delivered videos exceeding 50 million views within 48 hours throughout 2024 and early 2025, with several releases surpassing 100 million in that window. His most recent uploads—including the "I Survived 7 Days" series—have tracked between 80 and 150 million views by day two, establishing a floor well above typical YouTube content. The 0% implied probability suggests the market may be pricing in either an extended delay before the video's publication or uncertainty about which specific video qualifies as "latest" at settlement time.

Traders should monitor MrBeast's upload schedule closely, as the market depends entirely on when the video posts relative to the settlement deadline of 1 June 2026. Any announcement regarding production delays, platform changes affecting view counts, or shifts in his content strategy could alter the trajectory. YouTube's view-counting mechanics occasionally experience temporary fluctuations during the first 48 hours, particularly for high-traffic videos, though these typically stabilise well before resolution. The creator's subscriber base—currently exceeding 200 million—remains his primary audience driver, and seasonal content performance variations have historically been minimal for his releases.

Methodology

We track # of views of MrBeast video day 2? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.