# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's next YouTube upload will accumulate views during its opening 24 hours, with the market currently pricing a 30% probability that it reaches a particular threshold. The creator's upload schedule remains irregular, with significant gaps between releases as production complexity increases. Settlement depends on YouTube's view count at the precise 24-hour mark following publication.

Historical performance shows MrBeast's day-one view counts have ranged considerably. His 2023 videos typically garnered 50–80 million views within 24 hours, though this varied based on content type and promotion. A January 2024 video on his main channel reached approximately 60 million views in the first day. However, his upload frequency has declined markedly; gaps of 4–8 weeks between releases are now standard. This reduced cadence may affect audience momentum and algorithmic promotion compared to his earlier output patterns, where weekly uploads generated more consistent engagement metrics.

Traders should monitor MrBeast's social media announcements for upload schedules, as he frequently signals upcoming releases on X and Instagram. Recent collaborations or special project announcements typically correlate with higher day-one performance. The settlement window extends to 30 June 2026, providing substantial time for a video to be posted, though the creator's current production pace suggests uploads may remain sparse. Technical factors including YouTube's recommendation algorithm changes and broader platform trends will influence initial velocity, independent of MrBeast's subscriber base, which currently exceeds 200 million accounts.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.