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Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald

How the prediction market is pricing "Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 Winner 100% Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald 99% Completed Match 50% Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% Volume: $148K Liquidity: $329K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 Winner100%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald99%
Completed Match50%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 2 Winner50%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Match O/U 21.550%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Match O/U 22.550%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Match O/U 23.550%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald. This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Niels McDonald in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Ceza…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

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