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National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet

How the prediction market is pricing "National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet 100% National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $328K Liquidity: $461K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet100%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 2 Winner100%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Match O/U 22.599%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Total Sets: O/U 2.551%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Match O/U 21.550%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set Handicap +/-1.550%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set Handicap +/-1.550%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Match O/U 23.550%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 Winner0%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 2 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet. This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Kyrian Jacquet in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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