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Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen

How the prediction market is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $297K Liquidity: $185K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Total Sets: O/U 3.577%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 38.561%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen56%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 3 Winner54%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 4 O/U 9.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 36.551%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set Handicap +/-1.549%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set Handicap +/-2.56%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

The Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Otto Virtanen in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Art…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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Related Topics

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