Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 3 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 4 Winner | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Match O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Match O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Match O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: rafael jodar vs felix gill. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Felix Gill in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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